ALASKA

READ ATTACHED “AK INTEL SUMMARY” FOR FULL DETAILS

Trump – 189,951 (52.8%)
Biden – 153,778 (42.8%)

Notes: apologies for the crude map. AK is divided electorally into 40 State House districts, and that is how they track presidential results. These are new as of 2016, so trends are not available except for Party ID shifts and new voter numbers.

Fairbanks is districts 1-3, and Anchorage is 15-28, with 7-14 being surrounding areas. Trump trended heavily 37-40, which are largely native and reflects growth with minority voters.

Biden is 38k over Clinton in one cycle, with Trump up 27k. Trump is still not higher than McCain 2008.

Alaska has a lot of parties and has some indies, but I made some serious discoveries that cannot be captured fully in this caption. I am going to stop at the bottom line, and YOU NEED TO READ THE ATTACHMENT CALLED “AK INTEL SUMMARY.”

Biden appears 19k heavy, meaning a more likely margin in Alaska counting only excess votes is 55.7% to 37.4%, or 18.3% instead of 10.0%.